The cryptocurrency trader named Dyme on Twitter said that Bitcoin has entered the “perfect bear model” in the graphics and will experience a great price withdrawal in the near future. He pointed out the following three indicators as the reason for Trader to think in this way: Rising wedge, bear mismatch and excessively swollen long positions. Rising Wedge Looking back, each indicator usually signals a drop in the price of a rapidly rising asset. For example, in the rising wedge, any asset rises upward, and after it falls a little, it becomes higher, creating a conical pattern with new high levels, but when it reaches the top of the graph, there is a significant downward break.
Bear Conflict Bearish Divergence is also a potential reversal in the bull market. When the indicator reaches the highest levels of an asset it potentially reverses the trend. Extremely Swollen Bitcoin Long Positions Like many analysts, most investors think Bitcoin’s price will go up. For this reason, their long positions have increased excessively. Analysts who are considering this situation think that a correction will come soon. Analyst Cantering Clark explained that after the increase in long positions, Bitcoin will experience a decrease:
Market is likely very long right now, as it should be, with the trend. OI very high (with trend though) Futs premium +400 25D Skew chart -> Sentiment – ST & LT very confident.$BTC pic.twitter.com/90XYG8M9Ti — Cantering Clark (@CanteringClark) February 6, 2020 I think long positions will be punished soon, the market now has more long positions than it should be. The analyst also stated that a potential price correction could result in a significant drop in the price of Bitcoin, such as $ 700-1,000.
Bitmex funding can be used as a proxy for traders positioning. Mean return after 5 days has been -7%. This is free Alpha. Subscribe for more: https://t.co/p1WcWwDOiJ pic.twitter.com/Gs0Hu6GWdl — Alex Krüger (@krugermacro) February 7, 2020 Alex Krüger, one of the leading cryptocurrency analysts, also shared a chart of BitMEX data. The analyst discovered that the funding rate on the derivative platform has historically dropped the price of Bitcoin. More specifically, every time the above-mentioned funding rate was seen, the price of Bitcoin fell by an average of 7 percent in the next five days.
